Lose some, save some: Obesity, automobile demand, and gasoline consumption

نویسندگان

  • Shanjun Li
  • Yanyan Liu
  • Junjie Zhang
چکیده

This paper examines the unexplored link between the prevalence of overweight and obesity and vehicle demand in the United States. Exploring annual sales data of new passenger vehicles at the model level in 48 U.S. counties from 1999 to 2005, we find that new vehicles demanded by consumers are less fuel-efficient on average as a larger share of people become overweight or obese. The OLS results show that a 10 percentage point increase in obesity and overweight reduces the average MPG of new vehicles demanded by 1.4 percent, an effect requiring a 12 cent increase in gasoline prices to counteract. The 2SLS results after controlling for possible endogeneity in overweight and obesity prevalence put those two numbers at 5 percent and 54 cent, respectively. These findings, robust to a variety of specifications, suggest that policies to reduce overweight and obesity can have additional benefits for energy security and the environment. & 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Modelling and Forecasting the Demand for Automobile Petrol in Australia, and its Policy Implications

Petrol is the most significant fuel and accounts for the largest consumption share among the various road transport energies. This paper presents different econometric modelling systems to estimate the demand for petrol in the Australian road transport sector, emphasizing the effects of national income and petrol price. Quarterly time series data for Australia over the period 1977-2006 are empl...

متن کامل

Modeling Gasoline Consumption Behaviors in Iran Based on Long Memory and Regime Change

In this study, for the first time, we model gasoline consumption behavior in Iran using the long-term memory model of the autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average and non-linear Markov-Switching regime change model. Initially, the long-term memory feature of the ARFIMA model is investigated using the data from 1927 to 2017. The results indicate that the time series studied has a lo...

متن کامل

Automobile Prices, Gasoline Prices, and Consumer Demand for Fuel Economy

The relationship between gasoline prices and the demand for vehicle fuel efficiency is important for environmental policy but poorly understood in the academic literature. We provide empirical evidence that automobile manufacturers price as if consumers respond to gasoline prices. We derive a reduced-form regression equation from theoretical micro-foundations and estimate the equation with near...

متن کامل

Homogeneous, heterogeneous or shrinkage estimators? Some empirical evidence from French regional gasoline consumption

This paper contrasts the performance of heterogeneous and shrinkage estimators versus the more traditional homogeneous panel data estimators. The analysis utilizes a panel data set from 21 French regions over the period 1973-1998 and a dynamic demand speci...cation to study the gasoline demand in France. Out-of-sample forecast performance as well as the plausibility of the various estimators ar...

متن کامل

Using Social and Economic Indicators for Modeling, Sensitivity Analysis and Forecasting the Gasoline Demand in the Transportation Sector: An ANN Approach in case study for Tehran metropolis

Compared to the conventional methods, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are considered to be one of the reliable tools for modeling of complex phenomena such as demand. Aim of this study is to provide a model for gasoline demand in transportation section of Tehran metropolis through multilayered perceptron neural network and using the presented model in analyzing the sensitivity of the model to ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2010